{"id":11147,"date":"2024-01-08T10:17:20","date_gmt":"2024-01-08T13:17:20","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/4tuneagencia.digital\/blog\/andreessen-horowitz-software-is-eating-the-world-andreessen-horowitz\/"},"modified":"2024-01-08T10:17:20","modified_gmt":"2024-01-08T13:17:20","slug":"andreessen-horowitz-software-is-eating-the-world-andreessen-horowitz","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/4tuneagencia.digital\/blog\/andreessen-horowitz-software-is-eating-the-world-andreessen-horowitz\/","title":{"rendered":"Andreessen Horowitz | Software Is Eating the World &#8211; Andreessen Horowitz"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">\u201cYou live in a deranged age \u2014 more deranged than usual, because despite great scientific and technological advances, man has not the faintest idea of who he is or what he is doing.\u201d<br \/> <\/span><strong>Walker Percy<\/strong><br \/><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">\u201cOur species is 300,000 years old. For the first 290,000 years, we were foragers, subsisting in a way that\u2019s still observable among the Bushmen of the Kalahari and the Sentinelese of the Andaman Islands. Even after Homo Sapiens embraced agriculture, progress was painfully slow. A person born in Sumer in 4,000BC would find the resources, work, and technology available in England at the time of the Norman Conquest or in the Aztec Empire at the time of Columbus quite familiar. Then, beginning in the 18th Century, many people\u2019s standard of living skyrocketed. What brought about this dramatic improvement, and why?\u201d<br \/> <\/span><strong>Marian Tupy<\/strong><br \/><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">\u201cThere\u2019s a way to do it better. Find it.\u201d<br \/> <\/span><strong>Thomas Edison<\/strong><br \/><a class=\"link-decor\" href=\"https:\/\/a16z.com\/the-techno-optimist-manifesto\/\">Read, Share, and Learn More Here \u00bb<\/a><br \/>&nbsp;<br \/><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">We are being lied to.<\/span><br \/><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">We are told that technology takes our jobs, reduces our wages, increases inequality, threatens our health, ruins the environment, degrades our society, corrupts our children, impairs our humanity, threatens our future, and is ever on the verge of ruining everything.<\/span><br \/><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">We are told to be angry, bitter, and resentful about technology.<\/span><br \/><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">We are told to be pessimistic.<\/span><br \/><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The myth of Prometheus \u2013 in various updated forms like Frankenstein, Oppenheimer, and Terminator \u2013 haunts our nightmares.<\/span><br \/><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">We are told to denounce our birthright \u2013 our intelligence, our control over nature, our ability to build a better world.<\/span><br \/><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">We are told to be miserable about the future.<\/span><br \/>&nbsp;<br \/><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Our civilization was built on technology.<\/span><br \/><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Our civilization <\/span><i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">is<\/span><\/i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> built on technology.<\/span><br \/><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Technology is the glory of human ambition and achievement, the spearhead of progress, and the realization of our potential.<\/span><br \/><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">For hundreds of years, we properly glorified this \u2013 until recently.<\/span><br \/><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">I am here to bring the good news.<\/span><br \/><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">We can advance to a far superior way of living, and of being.<\/span><br \/><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">We have the tools, the systems, the ideas.<\/span><br \/><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">We have the will.<\/span><br \/><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">It is time, once again, to raise the technology flag.<\/span><br \/><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">It is time to be Techno-Optimists.<\/span><br \/>&nbsp;<br \/><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Techno-Optimists believe that societies, like sharks, grow or die.<\/span><br \/><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">We believe growth is progress \u2013 leading to vitality, expansion of life, increasing knowledge, higher well being.<\/span><br \/><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">We agree with Paul Collier when he says, \u201cEconomic growth is not a cure-all, but lack of growth is a kill-all.\u201d<\/span><br \/><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">We believe everything good is downstream of growth.<\/span><br \/><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">We believe not growing is stagnation, which leads to zero-sum thinking, internal fighting, degradation, collapse, and ultimately death.<\/span><br \/><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">There are only three sources of growth: population growth, natural resource utilization, and technology.<\/span><br \/><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Developed societies are depopulating all over the world, across cultures \u2013 the total human population may already be shrinking.<\/span><br \/><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Natural resource utilization has sharp limits, both real and political.<\/span><br \/><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">And so the only perpetual source of growth is technology.<\/span><br \/><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">In fact, technology \u2013 new knowledge, new tools, what the Greeks called <\/span><i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">techne<\/span><\/i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> \u2013 has always been the main source of growth, and perhaps the only cause of growth, as technology made both population growth and natural resource utilization possible.<\/span><br \/><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">We believe technology is a <\/span><i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">lever on the world<\/span><\/i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> \u2013 the way to make more with less.<\/span><br \/><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Economists measure technological progress as <\/span><i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">productivity growth<\/span><\/i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">: How much more we can produce each year with fewer inputs, fewer raw materials. Productivity growth, powered by technology, is the main driver of economic growth, wage growth, and the creation of new industries and new jobs, as people and capital are continuously freed to do more important, valuable things than in the past. Productivity growth causes prices to fall, supply to rise, and demand to expand, improving the material well being of the entire population.<\/span><br \/><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">We believe this is the story of the material development of our civilization; this is why we are not still living in mud huts, eking out a meager survival and waiting for nature to kill us.\u00a0<\/span><br \/><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">We believe this is why our descendents will live in the stars.<\/span><br \/><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">We believe that there is no material problem \u2013 whether created by nature or by technology \u2013 that cannot be solved with more technology.<\/span><br \/><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">We had a problem of starvation, so we invented the Green Revolution.<\/span><br \/><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">We had a problem of darkness, so we invented electric lighting.<\/span><br \/><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">We had a problem of cold, so we invented indoor heating.<\/span><br \/><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">We had a problem of heat, so we invented air conditioning.<\/span><br \/><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">We had a problem of isolation, so we invented the Internet.<\/span><br \/><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">We had a problem of pandemics, so we invented vaccines.<\/span><br \/><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">We have a problem of poverty, so we invent technology to create abundance.<\/span><br \/><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Give us a real world problem, and we can invent technology that will solve it.<\/span><br \/>&nbsp;<br \/><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">We believe free markets are the most effective way to organize a technological economy. Willing buyer meets willing seller, a price is struck, both sides benefit from the exchange or it doesn\u2019t happen. Profits are the incentive for producing supply that fulfills demand. Prices encode information about supply and demand. Markets cause entrepreneurs to seek out high prices as a signal of opportunity to create new wealth by driving those prices <\/span><i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">down<\/span><\/i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">.<\/span><br \/><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">We believe the market economy is a discovery machine, a form of intelligence \u2013 an exploratory, evolutionary, adaptive system.<\/span><br \/><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">We believe Hayek\u2019s Knowledge Problem overwhelms any centralized economic system. All actual information is on the edges, in the hands of the people closest to the buyer. The center, abstracted away from both the buyer and the seller, knows nothing. Centralized planning is doomed to fail, the system of production and consumption is too complex. Decentralization harnesses complexity for the benefit of everyone; centralization will starve you to death.<\/span><br \/><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">We believe in market discipline. The market naturally disciplines \u2013 the seller either learns and changes when the buyer fails to show, or exits the market. When market discipline is absent, there is no limit to how crazy things can get. The motto of every monopoly and cartel, every centralized institution not subject to market discipline: \u201cWe don\u2019t care, because we don\u2019t have to.\u201d Markets prevent monopolies and cartels.<\/span><br \/><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">We believe markets lift people out of poverty \u2013 in fact, markets are by far the most effective way to lift vast numbers of people out of poverty, and always have been. Even in totalitarian regimes, an incremental lifting of the repressive boot off the throat of the people and their ability to produce and trade leads to rapidly rising incomes and standards of living. Lift the boot a little more, even better. Take the boot off entirely, who knows how rich everyone can get.<\/span><br \/><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">We believe markets are an inherently <\/span><i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">individualistic<\/span><\/i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> way to achieve superior <\/span><i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">collective<\/span><\/i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> outcomes.\u00a0<\/span><br \/><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">We believe markets do not require people to be perfect, or even well intentioned \u2013 which is good, because, have you met people? Adam Smith: \u201cIt is not from the benevolence of the butcher, the brewer, or the baker that we expect our dinner, but from their regard to their own self-interest. We address ourselves not to their humanity but to their self-love, and never talk to them of our own necessities, but of their advantages.\u201d<\/span><br \/><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">David Friedman points out that people only do things for other people for three reasons \u2013 love, money, or force. Love doesn\u2019t scale, so the economy can only run on money or force. The force experiment has been run and found wanting. Let\u2019s stick with money.<\/span><br \/><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">We believe the ultimate moral defense of markets is that they divert people who otherwise would raise armies and start religions into peacefully productive pursuits.<\/span><br \/><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">We believe markets, to quote Nicholas Stern, are how we take care of people we don\u2019t know.<\/span><br \/><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">We believe markets are the way to generate societal wealth for everything else we want to pay for, including basic research, social welfare programs, and national defense.<\/span><br \/><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">We believe there is no conflict between capitalist profits and a social welfare system that protects the vulnerable. In fact, they are aligned \u2013 the production of markets creates the economic wealth that pays for everything else we want as a society.<\/span><br \/><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">We believe central economic planning elevates the worst of us and drags everyone down; markets exploit the best of us to benefit all of us.\u00a0<\/span><br \/><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">We believe central planning is a doom loop; markets are an upward spiral.<\/span><br \/><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The economist William Nordhaus has shown that creators of technology are only able to capture about 2% of the economic value created by that technology. The other 98% flows through to society in the form of what economists call social surplus. <\/span><i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Technological innovation in a market system is inherently philanthropic<\/span><\/i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">, by a 50:1 ratio. Who gets more value from a new technology, the single company that makes it, or the millions or billions of people who use it to improve their lives? QED.<\/span><br \/><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">We believe in David Ricardo\u2019s concept of <\/span><i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">comparative advantage<\/span><\/i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> \u2013 as distinct from <\/span><i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">competitive <\/span><\/i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">advantage, comparative advantage holds that even someone who is best in the world at doing everything will buy most things from other people, due to opportunity cost. Comparative advantage in the context of a properly free market guarantees high employment regardless of the level of technology.<\/span><br \/><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">We believe a market sets wages as a function of the marginal productivity of the worker. Therefore technology \u2013 which raises productivity \u2013 drives wages <\/span><i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">up<\/span><\/i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">, not down. This is perhaps the most counterintuitive idea in all of economics, but it\u2019s true, and we have 300 years of history that prove it.<\/span><br \/><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">We believe in Milton Friedman\u2019s observation that human wants and needs are infinite.<\/span><br \/><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">We believe markets also increase societal well being by generating <\/span><i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">work<\/span><\/i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> in which people can productively engage. We believe a Universal Basic Income would turn people into zoo animals to be farmed by the state. Man was not meant to be farmed; man was meant to be <\/span><i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">useful<\/span><\/i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">, to be <\/span><i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">productive<\/span><\/i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">, to be <\/span><i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">proud<\/span><\/i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">.<\/span><br \/><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">We believe technological change, far from reducing the need for human work, increases it, by broadening the scope of what humans can productively do.<\/span><br \/><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">We believe that since human wants and needs are infinite, economic demand is infinite, and job growth can continue forever.<\/span><br \/><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">We believe markets are generative, not exploitative; positive sum, not zero sum. Participants in markets build on one another\u2019s work and output. James Carse describes finite games and infinite games \u2013 finite games have an end, when one person wins and another person loses; infinite games never end, as players collaborate to discover what\u2019s possible in the game. Markets are the ultimate infinite game.<\/span><br \/>&nbsp;<br \/><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Combine technology and markets and you get what Nick Land has termed the techno-capital machine, the engine of perpetual material creation, growth, and abundance.<\/span><br \/><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">We believe the techno-capital machine of markets and innovation never ends, but instead spirals continuously upward. Comparative advantage increases specialization and trade. Prices fall, freeing up purchasing power, creating demand. Falling prices benefit everyone who buys goods and services, which is to say everyone. Human wants and needs are endless, and entrepreneurs continuously create new goods and services to satisfy those wants and needs, deploying unlimited numbers of people and machines in the process. This upward spiral has been running for hundreds of years, despite continuous howling from Communists and Luddites. Indeed, as of 2019, before the temporary COVID disruption, the result was the <\/span><i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">largest number of jobs<\/span><\/i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> at the <\/span><i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">highest wages<\/span><\/i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> and the <\/span><i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">highest levels of material living standards<\/span><\/i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> in the history of the planet.\u00a0<\/span><br \/><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The techno-capital machine makes natural selection work for us in the realm of ideas. The best and most productive ideas win, and are combined and generate even better ideas. Those ideas materialize in the real world as technologically enabled goods and services that never would have emerged de novo.<\/span><br \/><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Ray Kurzweil defines his Law of Accelerating Returns: Technological advances tend to feed on themselves, increasing the rate of further advance.<\/span><br \/><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">We believe in accelerationism \u2013 the conscious and deliberate propulsion of technological development \u2013 to ensure the fulfillment of the Law of Accelerating Returns. To ensure the techno-capital upward spiral continues forever.<\/span><br \/><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">We believe the techno-capital machine is not anti-human \u2013 in fact, it may be the most <\/span><i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">pro-human<\/span><\/i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> thing there is. It serves <\/span><i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">us<\/span><\/i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">. The techno-capital machine works for us. <\/span><i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">All<\/span><\/i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> the machines work for us.<\/span><br \/><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">We believe the cornerstone resources of the techno-capital upward spiral are intelligence and energy \u2013 ideas, and the power to make them real.<\/span><br \/>&nbsp;<br \/><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">We believe intelligence is the ultimate engine of progress. Intelligence makes everything better. Smart people and smart societies outperform less smart ones on virtually every metric we can measure. Intelligence is the birthright of humanity; we should expand it as fully and broadly as we possibly can.<\/span><br \/><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">We believe intelligence is in an upward spiral \u2013 first, as more smart people around the world are recruited into the techno-capital machine; second, as people form symbiotic relationships with machines into new cybernetic systems such as companies and networks; third, as Artificial Intelligence ramps up the capabilities of our machines and ourselves.<\/span><br \/><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">We believe we are poised for an intelligence takeoff that will expand our capabilities to unimagined heights.<\/span><br \/><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">We believe Artificial Intelligence is our alchemy, our Philosopher\u2019s Stone \u2013 we are literally making sand think.<\/span><br \/><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">We believe Artificial Intelligence is best thought of as a universal problem solver. And we have a lot of problems to solve.<\/span><br \/><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">We believe Artificial Intelligence can save lives \u2013 if we let it. Medicine, among many other fields, is in the stone age compared to what we can achieve with joined human and machine intelligence working on new cures. There are scores of common causes of death that can be fixed with AI, from car crashes to pandemics to wartime friendly fire.<\/span><br \/><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">We believe any deceleration of AI will cost lives. Deaths that were preventable by the AI that was prevented from existing is a form of murder.<\/span><br \/><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">We believe in <\/span><i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Augmented<\/span><\/i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> Intelligence just as much as we believe in <\/span><i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Artificial<\/span><\/i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> Intelligence. Intelligent machines augment intelligent humans, driving a geometric expansion of what <\/span><i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">humans<\/span><\/i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> can do.<\/span><br \/><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">We believe Augmented Intelligence drives marginal productivity which drives wage growth which drives demand which drives the creation of new supply\u2026 with no upper bound.<\/span><br \/>&nbsp;<br \/><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Energy is life. We take it for granted, but without it, we have darkness, starvation, and pain. With it, we have light, safety, and warmth.<\/span><br \/><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">We believe energy <\/span><i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">should be <\/span><\/i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">in an upward spiral. Energy is the foundational engine of our civilization. The more energy we have, the more people we can have, and the better everyone\u2019s lives can be. We should raise everyone to the energy consumption level we have, then increase our energy 1,000x, then raise everyone else\u2019s energy 1,000x as well.<\/span><br \/><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The current gap in per-capita energy use between the smaller developed world and larger developing world is enormous. That gap will close \u2013 either by massively expanding energy production, making everyone better off, or by massively reducing energy production, making everyone worse off.<\/span><br \/><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">We believe energy need not expand to the detriment of the natural environment. We have the silver bullet for virtually unlimited zero-emissions energy today \u2013 nuclear fission. In 1973, President Richard Nixon called for Project Independence, the construction of 1,000 nuclear power plants by the year 2000, to achieve complete US energy independence. Nixon was right; we didn\u2019t build the plants then, but we can now, anytime we decide we want to.<\/span><br \/><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Atomic Energy Commissioner Thomas Murray said in 1953: \u201cFor years the splitting atom, packaged in weapons, has been our main shield against the barbarians. Now, in addition, it is a God-given instrument to do the constructive work of mankind.\u201d Murray was right too.\u00a0<\/span><br \/><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">We believe a <\/span><i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">second<\/span><\/i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> energy silver bullet is coming \u2013 nuclear fusion. We should build that as well. The same bad ideas that effectively outlawed fission are going to try to outlaw fusion. We should not let them.<\/span><br \/><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">We believe there is no inherent conflict between the techno-capital machine and the natural environment. Per-capita US carbon emissions are lower now than they were 100 years ago, even without nuclear power.<\/span><br \/><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">We believe technology is the solution to environmental degradation and crisis. A technologically advanced society improves the natural environment, a technologically stagnant society ruins it. If you want to see environmental devastation, visit a former Communist country. The socialist USSR was far worse for the natural environment than the capitalist US. Google the Aral Sea.<\/span><br \/><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">We believe a technologically stagnant society has limited energy at the cost of environmental ruin; a technologically advanced society has unlimited clean energy for everyone.<\/span><br \/>&nbsp;<br \/><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">We believe we should place intelligence and energy in a positive feedback loop, and drive them both to infinity.<\/span><br \/><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">We believe we should use the feedback loop of intelligence and energy to make everything we want and need abundant.<\/span><br \/><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">We believe the measure of abundance is falling prices. Every time a price falls, the universe of people who buy it get a raise in buying power, which is the same as a raise in income. If a lot of goods and services drop in price, the result is an upward explosion of buying power, real income, and quality of life.<\/span><br \/><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">We believe that if we make both intelligence and energy \u201ctoo cheap to meter\u201d, the ultimate result will be that all physical goods become as cheap as pencils. Pencils are actually quite technologically complex and difficult to manufacture, and yet nobody gets mad if you borrow a pencil and fail to return it. We should make the same true of all physical goods.<\/span><br \/><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">We believe we should push to drop prices across the economy through the application of technology until as many prices are effectively zero as possible, driving income levels and quality of life into the stratosphere.<\/span><br \/><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">We believe Andy Warhol was right when he said, \u201cWhat&#8217;s great about this country is America started the tradition where the richest consumers buy essentially the same things as the poorest. You can be watching TV and see Coca-Cola, and you can know that the President drinks Coke, Liz Taylor drinks Coke, and just think, you can drink Coke, too. A Coke is a Coke and no amount of money can get you a better Coke than the one the bum on the corner is drinking. All the Cokes are the same and all the Cokes are good.\u201d Same for the browser, the smartphone, the chatbot.<\/span><br \/><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">We believe that technology ultimately drives the world to what Buckminster Fuller called \u201cephemeralization\u201d \u2013 what economists call \u201cdematerialization\u201d. Fuller: \u201cTechnology lets you do more and more with less and less until eventually you can do everything with nothing.\u201d<\/span><br \/><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">We believe technological progress therefore leads to material abundance for everyone.<\/span><br \/><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">We believe the ultimate payoff from technological abundance can be a massive expansion in what Julian Simon called \u201cthe ultimate resource\u201d \u2013 people.<\/span><br \/><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">We believe, as Simon did, that people are the ultimate resource \u2013 with more people come more creativity, more new ideas, and more technological progress.<\/span><br \/><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">We believe material abundance therefore ultimately means more people \u2013 a lot more people \u2013 which in turn leads to more abundance.<\/span><br \/><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">We believe our planet is dramatically underpopulated, compared to the population we could have with abundant intelligence, energy, and material goods.<\/span><br \/><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">We believe the global population can quite easily expand to 50 billion people or more, and then far beyond that as we ultimately settle other planets.<\/span><br \/><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">We believe that out of all of these people will come scientists, technologists, artists, and visionaries beyond our wildest dreams.<\/span><br \/><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">We believe the ultimate mission of technology is to advance life both on Earth and in the stars.<\/span><br \/>&nbsp;<br \/><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">However, we are not Utopians.<\/span><br \/><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">We are adherents to what Thomas Sowell calls the Constrained Vision.<\/span><br \/><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">We believe the Constrained Vision \u2013 contra the Unconstrained Vision of Utopia, Communism, and Expertise \u2013 means taking people as they are, testing ideas empirically, and liberating people to make their own choices.<\/span><br \/><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">We believe in not Utopia, but also not Apocalypse.<\/span><br \/><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">We believe change only happens on the margin \u2013 but a lot of change across a very large margin can lead to big outcomes.<\/span><br \/><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">While not Utopian, we believe in what Brad DeLong terms \u201cslouching toward Utopia\u201d \u2013 doing the best fallen humanity can do, making things better as we go.<\/span><br \/>&nbsp;<br \/><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">We believe that advancing technology is one of the most virtuous things that we can do.<\/span><br \/><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">We believe in deliberately and systematically transforming ourselves into the kind of people who can advance technology.<\/span><br \/><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">We believe this certainly means technical education, but it also means going hands on, gaining practical skills, working within and leading teams \u2013 aspiring to build something greater than oneself, aspiring to work with others to build something greater as a group.<\/span><br \/><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">We believe the natural human drive to make things, to gain territory, to explore the unknown can be channeled productively into building technology.<\/span><br \/><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">We believe that while the physical frontier, at least here on Earth, is closed, the technological frontier is wide open.<\/span><br \/><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">We believe in exploring and claiming the technological frontier.<\/span><br \/><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">We believe in the romance of technology, of industry. The eros of the train, the car, the electric light, the skyscraper. And the microchip, the neural network, the rocket, the split atom.<\/span><br \/><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">We believe in <\/span><i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">adventure<\/span><\/i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">. Undertaking the Hero\u2019s Journey, rebelling against the status quo, mapping uncharted territory, conquering dragons, and bringing home the spoils for our community.<\/span><br \/><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">To paraphrase a manifesto of a different time and place: \u201cBeauty exists only in struggle. There is no masterpiece that has not an aggressive character. Technology must be a violent assault on the forces of the unknown, to force them to bow before man.\u201d<\/span><br \/><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">We believe that we are, have been, and will always be the masters of technology, not mastered by technology. Victim mentality is a curse in every domain of life, including in our relationship with technology \u2013 both unnecessary and self-defeating. We are not victims, we are <\/span><i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">conquerors<\/span><\/i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">.<\/span><br \/><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">We believe in nature, but we also believe in <\/span><i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">overcoming<\/span><\/i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> nature. We are not primitives, cowering in fear of the lightning bolt. We are the apex predator; the lightning works for us.<\/span><br \/><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">We believe in <\/span><i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">greatness<\/span><\/i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">. We admire the great technologists and industrialists who came before us, and we aspire to make them proud of us today.<\/span><br \/><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">And we believe in <\/span><i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">humanity<\/span><\/i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> \u2013 individually and collectively.<\/span><br \/>&nbsp;<br \/><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">We believe in ambition, aggression, persistence, relentlessness \u2013 <\/span><i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">strength<\/span><\/i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">.<\/span><br \/><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">We believe in merit and achievement.<\/span><br \/><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">We believe in <\/span><i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">bravery<\/span><\/i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">, in <\/span><i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">courage.<\/span><\/i><br \/><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">We believe in pride, confidence, and self respect \u2013 when <\/span><i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">earned<\/span><\/i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">.<\/span><br \/><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">We believe in free thought, free speech, and free inquiry.<\/span><br \/><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">We believe in the <\/span><i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">actual<\/span><\/i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> Scientific Method and enlightenment values of free discourse and challenging the authority of experts.<\/span><br \/><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">We believe, as Richard Feynman said, \u201cScience is the belief in the ignorance of experts.\u201d<\/span><br \/><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">And, \u201cI would rather have questions that can&#8217;t be answered than answers that can&#8217;t be questioned.\u201d<\/span><br \/><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">We believe in local knowledge, the people with <\/span><i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">actual<\/span><\/i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> information making decisions, <\/span><i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">not<\/span><\/i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> in playing God.<\/span><br \/><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">We believe in embracing variance, in increasing interestingness.<\/span><br \/><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">We believe in <\/span><i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">risk<\/span><\/i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">, in leaps into the unknown.<\/span><br \/><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">We believe in agency, in individualism.<\/span><br \/><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">We believe in radical competence.<\/span><br \/><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">We believe in an absolute rejection of resentment. As Carrie Fisher said, \u201cResentment is like drinking poison and waiting for the other person to die.\u201d We take responsibility and we overcome.<\/span><br \/><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">We believe in competition, because we believe in evolution.<\/span><br \/><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">We believe in evolution, because we believe in life.<\/span><br \/><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">We believe in the truth.<\/span><br \/><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">We believe rich is better than poor, cheap is better than expensive, and abundant is better than scarce.<\/span><br \/><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">We believe in making everyone rich, everything cheap, and everything abundant.<\/span><br \/><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">We believe extrinsic motivations \u2013 wealth, fame, revenge \u2013 are fine as far as they go. But we believe intrinsic motivations \u2013 the satisfaction of building something new, the camaraderie of being on a team, the achievement of becoming a better version of oneself \u2013 are more fulfilling and more lasting.<\/span><br \/><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">We believe in what the Greeks called <\/span><i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">eudaimonia<\/span><\/i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> through <\/span><i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">arete<\/span><\/i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> \u2013 flourishing through excellence.<\/span><br \/><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">We believe technology is universalist. Technology doesn\u2019t care about your ethnicity, race, religion, national origin, gender, sexuality, political views, height, weight, hair or lack thereof. Technology is built by a virtual United Nations of talent from all over the world. Anyone with a positive attitude and a cheap laptop can contribute. Technology is the ultimate open society.<\/span><br \/><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">We believe in the Silicon Valley code of \u201cpay it forward\u201d, trust via aligned incentives, generosity of spirit to help one another learn and grow.<\/span><br \/><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">We believe America and her allies should be strong and not weak. We believe national strength of liberal democracies flows from economic strength (financial power), cultural strength (soft power), and military strength (hard power). Economic, cultural, and military strength flow from technological strength. A technologically strong America is a force for good in a dangerous world. Technologically strong liberal democracies safeguard liberty and peace. Technologically weak liberal democracies lose to their autocratic rivals, making everyone worse off.<\/span><br \/><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">We believe technology makes greatness more possible and more likely.<\/span><br \/><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">We believe in fulfilling our potential, becoming fully human \u2013 for ourselves, our communities, and our society.<\/span><br \/>&nbsp;<br \/><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Techno-Optimism is a material philosophy, <\/span><i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">not<\/span><\/i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> a political philosophy.<\/span><br \/><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">We are not necessarily left wing, although some of us are.<\/span><br \/><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">We are not necessarily right wing, although some of us are.<\/span><br \/><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">We are materially focused, for a reason \u2013 to open the aperture on how we may choose to live amid material abundance.<\/span><br \/><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">A common critique of technology is that it removes choice from our lives as machines make decisions for us. This is undoubtedly true, yet more than offset by the freedom to create our lives that flows from the material abundance created <\/span><i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">by<\/span><\/i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> our use of machines.<\/span><br \/><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Material abundance from markets and technology opens the space for religion, for politics, and for choices of how to live, socially and individually.<\/span><br \/><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">We believe technology is liberatory. Liberatory of human potential. Liberatory of the human soul, the human spirit. Expanding what it can mean to be free, to be fulfilled, to be alive.<\/span><br \/><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">We believe technology opens the space of what it can mean to be human.<\/span><br \/>&nbsp;<br \/><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">We have enemies.<\/span><br \/><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Our enemies are not bad people \u2013 but rather bad ideas.<\/span><br \/><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Our present society has been subjected to a mass demoralization campaign for six decades \u2013 against technology and against life \u2013 under varying names like \u201cexistential risk\u201d, \u201csustainability\u201d, \u201cESG\u201d, \u201cSustainable Development Goals\u201d, \u201csocial responsibility\u201d, \u201cstakeholder capitalism\u201d, \u201cPrecautionary Principle\u201d, \u201ctrust and safety\u201d, \u201ctech ethics\u201d, \u201crisk management\u201d, \u201cde-growth\u201d, \u201cthe limits of growth\u201d.<\/span><br \/><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">This demoralization campaign is based on bad ideas of the past \u2013 zombie ideas, many derived from Communism, disastrous then and now \u2013 that have refused to die.<\/span><br \/><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Our enemy is stagnation.<\/span><br \/><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Our enemy is anti-merit, anti-ambition, anti-striving, anti-achievement, anti-greatness.<\/span><br \/><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Our enemy is statism, authoritarianism, collectivism, central planning, socialism.<\/span><br \/><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Our enemy is bureaucracy, vetocracy, gerontocracy, blind deference to tradition.<\/span><br \/><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Our enemy is corruption, regulatory capture, monopolies, cartels.<\/span><br \/><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Our enemy is institutions that in their youth were vital and energetic and truth-seeking, but are now compromised and corroded and collapsing \u2013 blocking progress in increasingly desperate bids for continued relevance, frantically trying to justify their ongoing funding despite spiraling dysfunction and escalating ineptness.<\/span><br \/><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Our enemy is the ivory tower, the know-it-all credentialed expert worldview, indulging in abstract theories, luxury beliefs, social engineering, disconnected from the real world, delusional, unelected, and unaccountable \u2013 playing God with everyone else\u2019s lives, with total insulation from the consequences.<\/span><br \/><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Our enemy is speech control and thought control \u2013 the increasing use, in plain sight, of George Orwell\u2019s \u201c1984\u201d as an instruction manual.<\/span><br \/><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Our enemy is Thomas Sowell\u2019s Unconstrained Vision, Alexander Kojeve\u2019s Universal and Homogeneous State, Thomas More\u2019s Utopia.<\/span><br \/><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Our enemy is the Precautionary Principle, which would have prevented virtually all progress since man first harnessed fire. The Precautionary Principle was invented to prevent the large-scale deployment of civilian nuclear power, perhaps the most catastrophic mistake in Western society in my lifetime. The Precautionary Principle continues to inflict enormous unnecessary suffering on our world today. It is <\/span><i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">deeply<\/span><\/i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> immoral, and we must jettison it with extreme prejudice.<\/span><br \/><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Our enemy is deceleration, de-growth, depopulation \u2013 the nihilistic wish, so trendy among our elites, for fewer people, less energy, and more suffering and death.<\/span><br \/><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Our enemy is Friedrich Nietzsche\u2019s Last Man:<\/span><br \/><i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">I tell you: one must still have chaos in oneself, to give birth to a dancing star. I tell you: you have still chaos in yourselves.<\/span><\/i><br \/><i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Alas! There comes the time when man will no longer give birth to any star. Alas! There comes the time of the most despicable man, who can no longer despise himself\u2026<\/span><\/i><br \/><i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">&#8220;What is love? What is creation? What is longing? What is a star?&#8221; &#8212; so asks the Last Man, and blinks.<\/span><\/i><br \/><i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The earth has become small, and on it hops the Last Man, who makes everything small. His species is ineradicable as the flea; the Last Man lives longest\u2026<\/span><\/i><br \/><i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">One still works, for work is a pastime. But one is careful lest the pastime should hurt one.<\/span><\/i><br \/><i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">One no longer becomes poor or rich; both are too burdensome\u2026<\/span><\/i><br \/><i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">No shepherd, and one herd! Everyone wants the same; everyone is the same: he who feels differently goes voluntarily into the madhouse.<\/span><\/i><br \/><i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">&#8220;Formerly all the world was insane,&#8221; &#8212; say the subtlest of them, and they blink.<\/span><\/i><br \/><i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">They are clever and know all that has happened: so there is no end to their derision\u2026\u00a0<\/span><\/i><br \/><i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">&#8220;We have discovered happiness,&#8221; &#8212; say the Last Men, and they blink.<\/span><\/i><br \/><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Our enemy is\u2026 that.<\/span><br \/><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">We aspire to be\u2026 not that.<\/span><br \/><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">We will explain to people captured by these zombie ideas that their fears are unwarranted and the future is bright.<\/span><br \/><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">We believe these captured people are suffering from ressentiment \u2013 a witches\u2019 brew of resentment, bitterness, and rage that is causing them to hold mistaken values, values that are damaging to both themselves and the people they care about.<\/span><br \/><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">We believe we must help them find their way out of their self-imposed labyrinth of pain.<\/span><br \/><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">We invite everyone to join us in Techno-Optimism.<\/span><br \/><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The water is warm.<\/span><br \/><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Become our allies in the pursuit of technology, abundance, and life.<\/span><br \/>&nbsp;<br \/><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Where did we come from?<\/span><br \/><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Our civilization was built on a spirit of discovery, of exploration, of industrialization.<\/span><br \/><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Where are we going?<\/span><br \/><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">What world are we building for our children and their children, and their children?<\/span><br \/><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">A world of fear, guilt, and resentment?<\/span><br \/><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Or a world of ambition, abundance, and adventure?<\/span><br \/><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">We believe in the words of David Deutsch: &#8220;We have a duty to be optimistic. Because the future is open, not predetermined and therefore cannot just be accepted: we are all responsible for what it holds. Thus it is our duty to fight for a better world.&#8221;<\/span><br \/><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">We owe the past, and the future.<\/span><br \/><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">It\u2019s time to be a Techno-Optimist.\u00a0<\/span><br \/><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">It\u2019s time to build.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/news.google.com\/rss\/articles\/CBMiEWh0dHBzOi8vYTE2ei5jb20v0gEA?oc=5\">source<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\u201cYou live in a deranged age \u2014 more deranged than usual, because despite great scientific and technological advances, man has not the faintest idea of who he is or what he is doing.\u201d Walker Percy\u201cOur species is 300,000 years old. For the first 290,000 years, we were foragers, subsisting in a way that\u2019s still observable&#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":11148,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[31],"tags":[70],"class_list":["post-11147","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-design","tag-designer"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v21.1 (Yoast SEO v22.7) - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>Andreessen Horowitz | Software Is Eating the World - Andreessen Horowitz - 4tuneagencia.digital<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/4tuneagencia.digital\/blog\/andreessen-horowitz-software-is-eating-the-world-andreessen-horowitz\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"pt_BR\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Andreessen Horowitz | Software Is Eating the World - Andreessen Horowitz\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"\u201cYou live in a deranged age \u2014 more deranged than usual, because despite great scientific and technological advances, man has not the faintest idea of who he is or what he is doing.\u201d Walker Percy\u201cOur species is 300,000 years old. For the first 290,000 years, we were foragers, subsisting in a way that\u2019s still observable...\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/4tuneagencia.digital\/blog\/andreessen-horowitz-software-is-eating-the-world-andreessen-horowitz\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"4tuneagencia.digital\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2024-01-08T13:17:20+00:00\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"4tune\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:label1\" content=\"Escrito por\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data1\" content=\"4tune\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:label2\" content=\"Est. tempo de leitura\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data2\" content=\"25 minutos\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\/\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"Article\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/4tuneagencia.digital\/blog\/andreessen-horowitz-software-is-eating-the-world-andreessen-horowitz\/#article\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/4tuneagencia.digital\/blog\/andreessen-horowitz-software-is-eating-the-world-andreessen-horowitz\/\"},\"author\":{\"name\":\"4tune\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/4tuneagencia.digital\/blog\/#\/schema\/person\/7c40d2e8b9964c2390122613459c2100\"},\"headline\":\"Andreessen Horowitz | Software Is Eating the World &#8211; 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